Recherche & Publications  >  CIFE Notes de recherche  >  Numéros 121-160


CIFE Notes de recherche - Numéros 121-160

Dans ses notes de recherche, le CIFE s’intéresse plus particulièrement à des projets de recherche en accord avec son héritage académique, sa tradition, ses compétences et intérêts : l’intégration européenne reste un champ de recherche fécond, tant en ce qui concerne ses structures internes en tant que système politique que pour analyser les politiques menées ; le fédéralisme reste une clé pour saisir les caractéristiques spécifiques du système de l’UE, et peut être remodelé afin de s’appliquer aux évolutions systémiques innovantes.

Un second centre d’intérêt sur lequel le CIFE se concentre est l’Europe dans le cadre des relations internationales, de même que le rôle de la relation franco-allemande pour l’intégration européenne, tant sur le plan interne qu’au regard de l’européanisation et de la mondialisation. Un troisième axe repose sur les développements sociétaux, dans leurs dimensions sociales, démographiques et environnementales, les perspectives de développement durable ou les doctrines, philosophies et mentalités sous-jacentes.

Ces notes sont disponibles en libre accès sur notre site. Le CIFE publie une fois par an un recueil de ces articles. Le dernier recueil, intitulé « Europe Forging Resilience », est paru en mai 2026.


 

N°160 | 10 avril 2024 | Susann Heinecke-Kuhn

Ukraine on the Way to EU Membership - The Famous 'Long, Rocky Road'


After Ukraine applied for EU membership in March 2022 and was granted candidate status in December 2023, the negotiations over its EU accession are supposed to start in the course of this year. Despite the speedy first steps, Ukraine will have to undergo the same procedure of accession negotiations as any other EU candidate country. This paper looks into the particular challenges and risks of Ukraine’s EU accession and gives an outlook on the tasks lying ahead for both the EU and Ukraine.


N°159 | 14 mars 2024 | Frédéric Lépine

La question catalane


Depuis la fin du XIXe siècle, la Catalogne a toujours résisté à aux tentatives de centralisation politique et administrative en Espagne. Cette note de recherche vise à présenter le contexte historique de cette résistance, tout en décrivant plus en détail les événements qui ont conduit au processus d’indépendance catalan et à son échec en 2017. Elle permet d’éclairer la situation actuelle, où un accord de législature entre le gouvernement espagnol et les partis catalans pourrait conduire à une redéfinition juridique et politique de l’autonomie de la Catalogne.


N°158 | 5 mars 2024 | Jean-Claude-Vérez 

Le défi du vieillissement démographique


Le monde va connaître une (r)évolution démographique d’ici 2100 et, à l’opposé de l’analyse malthusienne, le défi ne sera pas de faire face à la croissance démographique mais au vieillissement démographique. C’est déjà le cas dans de grands pays et il convient de voir ce en quoi cette évolution va bouleverser quelques équilibres macroéconomiques mais aussi microéconomiques.


N°157 | 24 janvier 2024 | Aysenur Alma

The EU AI Act: State of Play and the Potential for Regulatory Globalisation


In her Policy Paper, Aysenur Alma gives an overview of the state of play of the upcoming EU AI Act within the legislative process. Since the Commission's proposal in April 2021, the proposal has undergone the ordinary legislative procedure. Last month, a provisional agreement was achieved in the trilogue negoations of the Parliament and the Council. Moreover, the final text has been sent to the member states. Thus, a final adoption is soon to be accomplished. The regulation is not only awaited within Europe but is also expected to have extra-territorial reach.


N°156 | 15 janvier 2024 | Rachel Guyet

The EU Electricity Market Reform and the Protection of Consumers: A Move Towards a More Ambitious Approach?


The energy price crisis in the winter 2022-2023 acted as a wake-up call for the European institutions to reform the electricity market in order to stabilise the prices and shield consumers from price volatility. The provisional reform agreement concluded by the Council and the Parliament in December 2023 improves the protection of final consumers, including the vulnerable consumers and households exposed to energy poverty. This is a step in the right direction but more needs to be done to address inequalities in the access to affordable energy services for all.


N°155 | 8 décembre 2023 | George N. Tzogopoulos

The EU and the Israel-Hamas War


This essay attempts to offer an overview of how the EU responded to the Israel-Hamas war in its first weeks. In so doing, it explains that the initial  unequivocal support for Israel after the terrorist attack of 7 October 2023 was followed by a more nuanced stance that focused attention on the Palestinian drama. It subsequently demonstrates why disagreements among member states came to the forefront in a phase during which Israel was waging war to eradicate Hamas at huge cost to numerous Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip. The essay discusses several European priorities amid hostilities and argues that the general analysis of the EU's stance cannot ignore the complexity of the Israel-Palestinian conflict as a whole.


N°154 | 1 décembre 2023 | Marie Müller

Nature Restoration Law: A Review of the Council’s General Approach and of What Remains of the Commission’s Ambitious Proposal


The policy brief gives an overview of the recent movements inside the EU institutions in regard to the Commission’s Proposal for the Nature Restoration Law. Since then, the Proposal has undergone the ordinary legislative procedure. The Law just survived the trilogue negotiations of the Parliament and the Council, and is, therefore, one step closer to its entry into force. Nevertheless, the Commission’s ambitions have been partially lost over the process, and it is not clear yet if the Law, in its current stage, will still be able to fulfill its purpose. Namely to reverse biodiversity loss by coordinated and stringent restoration measures.


N°153 | 19 octobre 2023 | Laurent Baechler

Le pacte fiscal européen :  retour aux fondamentaux


Le Pacte de Stabilité et de Croissance (PSC) adopté en 1997 établit les règles fiscales que les pays membres de la zone euro  doivent respecter afin d’éviter que de trop grandes divergences en matière de déficit ou d’endettement public ne débouchent sur une déstabilisation contagieuse de la zone. Ces règles sont essentiellement un seuil de 3% du PIB pour le déficit public et un seuil de 60% du PIB pour la dette publique, que les pays membres doivent s’engager à respecter. Elles ont été suspendues lors du déclenchement de la crise de la Covid en mars 2020 (en application des règles elles-mêmes, en cas de circonstances exceptionnelles qui empêchent le respect des seuils), suspension prolongée en raison de l’impact de la guerre en Ukraine sur les budgets des pays membres. Il est question de les réintroduire à partir de janvier 2024, mais les conditions de leur application ont été profondément bouleversées par l’impact des quelque quatre années écoulées sur la situation budgétaire des pays concernés. Cette note a pour objet de présenter les propositions de réformes concernant ces règles fiscales, ainsi que les débats qu’elles suscitent).


N°152 | 20 septembre 2023 | Christian Manahl

The Niger Crisis and the Perils of a New Cold War Descending on Africa


West Africa has experienced a series of military coups and growing Russian influence, mostly through the Wagner security group, with Niger being the latest and perhaps most critical example, as it is the cornerstone of the European Union’s security strategy in the Sahel and a crucial country in terms of managing trans-Saharan migration flows. In the context Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian expansionism in the Sahel could turn the subregion into a new frontline of the hybrid geopolitical conflict between Russia and the West. The way the crisis in Niger is resolved will be indicative of how this dynamic plays out.


N°151 | 11 juillet 2023 | Kristijan Ležaić

Croatia’s European Success Story


On 1st of July this year, Croatia, the youngest European Union member state celebrates 10 years of membership in the EU. In the first decennial anniversary of membership, this small Mediterranean Country gradually achieved remarkable success in crossing the various stages of integration and on 1st January 2023 gained membership of both the  Eurozone and Schengen area, something that was never achieved in the history of the EU, to attain these two important milestones on the same day. Due to its dedication and achievements, Croatia can be seen as a true European success story as it has come a long way from a war torn Country fighting for independence in the 90s, to a poster child of European integration only 30 years later. Today, Croatia is one of the 15 Countries in the world, which are at the same time members of  the EU, NATO, Schengen and Eurozone.


N°150 | 3 juillet 2023 | Loris Petrini 

Looking Back on the Beyond Growth Conference - Building Pathways Towards a Post-Growth European Economy


This article provides a brief synthesis of the Beyond Growth conference to highlight the diffusion of post-growth narratives within EU institutions. This landmark multi-stakeholder event, born as a cross-party initiative of 20 MEPs from five political groups, was held in the European Parliament in May 2023. The debates gathered scholars, members of civil society and policymakers around a common plea to ensure socio-ecological prosperity by shifting away from GDP growth. In the context of the European Green Deal, it sought to openly challenge conventional policymaking and build pathways to offer a good life for all within planetary boundaries.


N°149 | 26 juin 2023 | Arne Ellerbeck

Making the Impossible Possible - Shifting the Overton Window


Effective climate action and policy is currently not politically possible, as politicians face strong resistance from various societal groups and in some cases even have to fear for their re-election when adopting ambitious legislation. In order to achieve the 2030 targets and bring the planet on a trajectory on which we can limit climate change to 1.5°C this problem needs to be addressed. This can be conceptualised as the need to shift the Overton Window, which describes what is politically possible at a given moment in time. For this purpose two options exist, the proposed solutions are more attractive and the sentiment in the general public becomes more favourable. Both levers can be addressed through a diverse coalition consisting of actors ranging from companies to youth activists. Together these groups can reduce the hostility in the discourse around climate action, develop a common understanding and attractive solutions. The unique character of this coalition has the potential to elicit changes in how climate action is thought about in the general public and among political decision-makers. A crucial piece to this coalition is the youth climate movement which possess a unique credibility and legitimacy. However, this movement is highly complex, vast and does not exist as a single actor. In order to overcome these challenges, this policy brief offers a potential definition of what the climate youth movement is, based on a generational aspect and the psychological/sociological concept “opinion/value group”. Furthermore, a coarse categorisation of youth groups is presented based on the size and the level which the group is aiming to exert their impact. The objective is to deliver some initial  guidance to support other actors in finding suitable partners among youth groups, with the aim to collaborate in shifting the Overton Window.


N°148 | 12 juin 2023 | Katharina Sigwald

Extremism in Digital Spheres: Can European Union Directives Curb It?


Violent extremist attacks have risen over the last decade, while algorithms on Internet platforms have played a vital role in enforcing extremist ideologies and worldviews. The European Union has issued offline regulations to combat extremism on the Internet, like the Radicalisation Awareness Network (RAN), the EU’s Security Union strategy 2020-2025, and the 2020 Counter-Terrorism Agenda. European Council conclusions for online providers include the awaited Digital Services Act package (DSA/DMA) which aims to create a safer digital environment for users, as well as the introduction of the European Centre for Algorithmic Transparency (2023), seeking to facilitate the implementation of the DSA/DMA. The Digital Services Act package is perceived as an important step in the right direction, though it has been greeted with some scepticism concerning its impact and applicability.


N°147 | 1 juin 2023 | Ryszard Piasecki

Perspectives on the Security of Central Europe One Year After the Beginning of the War


The Russian war of aggression against Ukraine can be a chance for the Europeans to build their strategic value for NATO on their home turf. Today, Central Europe is naturally the centre point of Europe’s security. Only armies developed in close cooperation with NATO guarantee security. In the case of Poland, the ongoing senseless conflict with the EU - including Germany - contradicts the Polish raison d’état.  Seen from the perspective of Central Europe, a common European defence and the transatlantic alliance are both necessary for their security.


N°146 | 20 mai 2023 | Florent Marciacq 

Connecting Europe’s Schools and Pupils: A Flagship Initiative for the European Political Community


The invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation last year has imposed new geopolitical realities on the European continent. It has shattered illusions that hard security challenges can be offset by soft power and market integration alone, exposed key vulnerabilities in European security, bolstered transatlantic cooperation, hit European economies and reshaped the political geography of EU enlargement. The war has put European nations to a massive test, and it is fair to say that unity has prevailed at the most critical moment. Yet, the war has not extinguished key divergences on strategic issues. These continue to run deep, behind the front of European unity. To make sure that countries in Europe board the same boat in their crossing of geopolitical storms, a European political community (EPC) was established in Prague on 6 October 2022. The 40+ participating states, gathered on this occasion, identified 7 priorities, one of which was… youth cooperation. An ambitious flagship initiative focusing on school connectivity and pupils’ mobility would give the EPC substance, identity and the strategic depth required to address the European challenges that are ready to surge under still waters.


N°145 | 10 mai 2023 | George N. Tzogopoulos

China and the War in Ukraine


China’s stance in the Ukraine conflict has generated lively debate. The country stresses its neutrality, but the West doubts its sincere motivations. China does not agree with the policy of sanctions against Russia and looks at the war from the prism of its own interests. In so doing, it strives to achieve a balance between the maintenance of good relations with Russia and the preservation of a degree of cooperation with the USA and the EU.  It is also proposing some solutions to end hostilities which reflect its own strategic thinking. A good understanding of this strategic thinking will perhaps help Western policymakers set realistic goals in what to expect from the Chinese government as long as the war in Ukraine persists.


N°144 | 3 mai 2023 | Christian R. Manahl

The Dragon and the Bear Unlimited - Should we worry about the China-Russia Relationship?


The partnership between the world’s two major authoritarian regimes is reason for serious concern, but it is the consequence, not the cause, of tensions that have been building up for years already. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine a year ago marks a turning point in international relations, the end of the post-Cold War era and possibly the beginning of a new Cold War between the democratic West and an authoritarian East which is bound in an alliance of convenience. However, Russia’s military setbacks, the invasion’s impact on the global economy, and the risk of a nuclear escalation run counter to China’s interests. Beijing sticks to Moscow out of geopolitical opportunism, but it may use its influence to mitigate the risk of an escalation and perhaps bring an opening for a diplomatic settlement, following Xi Jinping’s trip to Moscow earlier this year. The outcome of this China’s “peace initiative” will depend essentially on Ukraine’s own assessment of its chances for an outright military victory or of the risks of protracted hostilities that would exhaust its resources.


N°143 | 14 avril 2023 | Rachel Guyet

The Justice Challenges of the EU Energy Trilemma


Energy policies in Europe are embedded in the three dimensions of the so-called energy trilemma, for which the World Energy Council publishes an index every year. The current energy crisis has impacted all three dimensions of the trilemma putting at the core of the European strategies the security of supply, including the accelerated deployment of renewable energies, and the issue of affordability. The paper examines whether the emergency measures taken meet the conditions of just transition put forward in the European Green Deal.


N°142 | 27 mars 2023 | Mohamed Kerrou

Le populisme à l'épreuve du pouvoir


A l’épreuve du pouvoir, le populisme tunisien incarné par le Président Kais Saied s’est avéré velléitaire et sans consistance au niveau de la gouvernance.
Pour y remédier, il importe d’instaurer un climat de confiance et d’éviter la confrontation avec la Centrale syndicale qui est le pilier de la société civile.


N°141 | 8 March 2023 | George N. Tzogopoulos

The War in Ukraine and Europe's Choices


The war in Ukraine is challenging the international order. The EU has responded by getting closer to the US within NATO. The allies are attemtping to support Kyiv and stop the advancement of Russian military forces. The EU has provided critical support to the Ukrainian people and has made impressive steps to guarantee its energy security and maintain its resilience. However, perspectives for peace are rather poor. The hard reality is leading the EU to evaluate different scenarios, although it cannot be the protagonist in the conflict. In a changing world, the EU needs to place more emphasis on its strategic autonomy and be more flexible in welcoming Ukraine to its family.

N°140 | 27 février 2023 | Jean-Claude-Vérez 

Les politiques publiques européennes relatives à la perte d'autonomie et à la dépendance


Le vieillissement démographique est une réalité avec à la clé des personnes agées dépendantes. La prise en charge de la perte d'autonomie peut relever des politiques publiques. Les besoins de financement sont substantiels.

 

 

 

 

N°171

Le mécanisme d’ajustement carbone aux frontières : une étape clé dans la politique climatique européenne, Laurent Baechler

Résumé :

Le mécanisme d’ajustement carbone aux frontières que l’UE teste actuellement est le premier instrument de politique climatique de ce genre en fonction dans le monde. Sa mise en œuvre sera un test décisif pour la communauté internationale quant à sa capacité à surmonter les obstacles économiques, juridiques et politiques à une coopération climatique plus efficace.

Baecher Laurent CBAM Europe Carbone UE

N°170

On Disinformation: Why the EU Has Failed to Prevent the Rise of Euroscepticism in the 2024 European Parliament Elections and What Needs to Be Done Now, Johanna Koch

Résumé :

Depuis l'ère post-Maastricht, l'Union européenne a connu une montée constante de l'euroscepticisme au sein du Parlement européen. Les élections européennes de 2024 ont marqué un nouveau pic dans le nombre de partis eurosceptiques, dont les campagnes ont été alimentées par des récits de désinformation anti-UE. Cette situation met en évidence les défis permanents de l'UE pour contrer efficacement la désinformation eurosceptique. Par conséquent, ce document évalue les mesures prises par l'UE pour lutter contre la désinformation, examine leurs limites et propose sept recommandations clés pour combler les lacunes de la stratégie actuelle de l'UE contre la désinformation, ainsi que la montée croissante de l'euroscepticisme au sein de l'Union, en considérant ces deux phénomènes comme des questions interconnectées.

Koch Disinformation EU Parliament Euroscepticism EP Elections CIFE

N°169

Full Democracy in Poland Has Not Been Yet Restored, Ryszard Piasecki

Résumé :

Poland's political landscape has undergone significant change since the 2023 election, with the ousting of the populist PiS government and the rise of a pro-European coalition led by Donald Tusk. Despite this victory, Poland's democracy remains under threat due to obstacles created by the outgoing PiS government, including a politicised judiciary and obstructive presidential vetoes. While the new government has made strides to restore the rule of law, challenges persist, particularly from the Catholic Church and conservative factions. The EU has unblocked recovery funds, but full democratic restoration in Poland will depend on future elections and institutional reforms. This situation serves as a cautionary tale for the EU regarding the risks posed by populism in member states.

Ryszard Piasecki Poland Democracy EU

N°168

The EU AI Act: The Impact on the Public Sector, Daan van Pinxteren

Résumé :

The EU Artificial Intelligence (AI) Act, effective from August 2024, is the world’s first comprehensive AI regulation, significantly impacting AI used in the public sector. It introduces a risk-based framework, categorising AI systems from minimal to high risk, with stringent compliance requirements for the latter. Public authorities face challenges in balancing the benefits of AI with the expected costs of compliance, particularly with regards to harnessing the risk framework and exceptions to the rules, fostering trustworthy AI and citizen trust and navigating expected enforcement. This in turn may ultimately require a reinvention of public AI strategies to strike an optimal balance between benefits and costs.

van Pinxteren EU AI Act Europe CIFE 2024 Policy Paper

N°167

EU Defence Policy: From Crisis Management to Common Defence?, Kyriakos Revelas

Résumé :

The end of the post-cold war European security architecture following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, coupled with doubts about the US commitment to NATO obligations, made territorial defence again a central preoccupation. This prompts the question of the EU security and defence policy shifting from crisis management to deterrence and defence. This paper examines whether such change is institutionally possible and explores the political conditions for common defence and the defence industry role.

Kyriakos Defence Policy EU Crisis

N°166

Energy Poverty in Europe: Local Authorities as a Game Changer?, Rachel Guyet

Résumé :

La pauvreté énergétique est un phénomène très répandu en Europe. Si l'Union européenne et les Etats membres se sont fortement impliqués pour atténuer les conséquences sociales de la crise des prix de l'énergie de l'hiver 2022-2023, les collectivités locales sont une ressource essentielle pour les ménages exposés à la pauvreté énergétique. Cependant, elles se heurtent à des obstacles pour rendre leur action plus efficace. Malgré les difficultés (dont certaines sont examinées dans ce document), elles sont capables de mobiliser des réseaux formels et informels pour développer des expérimentations.

Rachel Guyet Pauvreté énergétique CIFE Europe 2024

N°165

The Social Climate Fund as a Catalyst for the French Energy Poverty Strategy, Joren Schepers

Résumé :

En 2023, le Fonds social pour le climat (FSC) a été approuvé parallèlement à l'extension du système d'échange de quotas d'émission au secteur du bâtiment et des transports. Le fonds redistribue une partie des recettes générées par cette extension dans le but d'éviter que les personnes les plus vulnérables ne soient exposées à la pauvreté en matière de transport et d'énergie en raison de la politique de tarification. Le règlement du FSC fixe des objectifs ambitieux, en allouant un budget total de 86,7 milliards d'euros de 2026 à 2032. En analysant la politique existante de la France en matière de pauvreté énergétique et l'alignement avec les objectifs du FSC, cette recherche donne un aperçu de la capacité du fonds et de la question de savoir s'il peut être à la hauteur des attentes.

Schepers Joren Social Climate Fund EU CIFE 2024 Policy Paper

N°164

Towards a Governance Global Barometer, Michel-Henry Bouchet et Alexandre Landi

Résumé :

Bien que le concept de « good governance » soit devenu la référence obligée des tables rondes académiques et des réunions d'organismes internationaux ou d'agences de notation, il n'existe pas de consensus sur sa définition, son contenu ou sa mesure. Chacun définit la gouvernance selon ses besoins. Globalement, les Country Risk Analysts, les décideurs politiques et les économistes de terrain ne manquent pas d'indicateurs, parfois encombrés de beaucoup d'opacité et où la sophistication numérique donne l'illusion de rigueur scientifique. Nous définissons la gouvernance comme la résilience institutionnelle dans un pays, qui peut contribuer à transformer la croissance économique en un développement durable et inclusif. La lutte contre la corruption est donc un élément essentiel de la gouvernance, au même titre que la transparence des « règles du jeu », l’équité de la répartition des ressources, et la qualité de la réglementation. Pour mesurer et comparer le niveau de gouvernance dans plus de cent pays en développement, un nouvel indicateur composite a été élaboré, basé sur des sous-indices spécifiques de qualité institutionnelle, d'efficacité gouvernementale et de corruption. Sa valeur ajoutée provient d'une large gamme d’indicateurs et d’une « évaluation d'experts », y compris des professeurs en Risque-pays et d’anciens étudiants du Master conjoint en gouvernance économique mondiale et en affaires politiques du CIFE et de la Luiss. Nous espérons que ce nouveau baromètre «Global Governance Gamut » contribuera à attirer l'attention des décideurs politiques et des analystes de risques sur la qualité de la gestion socio-économique dans de trop nombreux pays riches à population pauvre.

Michel Henry Bouchet CIFE Governance Index

Landi Alexandre CIFE Governance

N°163

A New Era or a Storm in a Tea Pot? South Africa After the ANC Lost Its Parliamentary Majority, Christian Manahl

Résumé :

For the first time since the end of Apartheid, the African National Congress has lost the parliamentary majority and the country is entering a new era of coalition politics. Socio-economic constraints and the need to balance diverging interests between coalition partners will give the new executive limited leeway. In addition, it will have to juggle competing priorities of economic reform and fiscal consolidation on the one hand, and tackling unemployment and deep social inequalities on the other. The challenges are daunting, but South Africa’s fundamentals are solid, it is the continent’s biggest economy and it has strong democratic institutions. As long as the new coalition sticks together and focuses on the interests of the country, it requires and deserves the support of international partners for its efforts to lead South Africa onto a more promising socio-economic trajectory.

Christian Manahl South Africa Europe Elections Challenges Apartheid

N°162

Past Legacies and Future Projections: The Implementation of the Rule of Law in EU Enlargement Policy, Arnisa Tepelija

Résumé :

This paper explores the resurgence of the European Union enlargement policy amidst the geopolitical imperatives posed by Russia’s war on Ukraine through the lens of the rule of law. Central to the enlargement policy is the implementation of the rule of law, a core EU principle enshrined in its constitutional framework. Drawing from lessons learnt from previous enlargements, such as underscoring the necessity of robust rule of law criteria and the consistent use of pre-accession conditionality, this paper makes some future projections on what the immediate imperative is for the EU in the promotion of the rule of law and its implementation in candidate countries.

Arnisa Tepelija Rule of Law EU Western Balkan

N°161

Nuclear Power - The Comeback of Nuclear Energy in the Global Energy Landscape, Ana Catarina Simões

Résumé :

The journey towards recognising the pivotal role of nuclear energy in the global energy landscape has been marked by several key milestones since 2022. Notably, nuclear energy was included in both the RepowerEU plan and the COP 28 agreement. Subsequently, an inaugural Nuclear Energy Summit was convened. These developments underscore a collective shift in perspective, acknowledging nuclear power as an indispensable component of the energy transition. The Nuclear Energy Summit, a first-of-its-kind event held on 21 March 2024, further solidified this stance, bringing together governments, institutions, and stakeholders to deliberate on nuclear energy's potential.

Ana Cataina Simoes Nuclear Energy Comeback Europe COP 28

N°160

Ukraine on the Way to EU Membership - The Famous 'Long, Rocky Road', Susann Heinecke-Kuhn

Résumé :

After Ukraine applied for EU membership in March 2022 and was granted candidate status in December 2023, the negotiations over its EU accession are supposed to start in the course of this year. Despite the speedy first steps, Ukraine will have to undergo the same procedure of accession negotiations as any other EU candidate country. This paper looks into the particular challenges and risks of Ukraine’s EU accession and gives an outlook on the tasks lying ahead for both the EU and Ukraine.

Susann Heinecke-Kuhn CIFE Ukraine Europe Membership

N°159

La question catalane, Frédéric Lépine

Résumé :

Depuis la fin du XIXe siècle, la Catalogne a toujours résisté à aux tentatives de centralisation politique et administrative en Espagne. Cette note de recherche vise à présenter le contexte historique de cette résistance, tout en décrivant plus en détail les événements qui ont conduit au processus d’indépendance catalan et à son échec en 2017. Elle permet d’éclairer la situation actuelle, où un accord de législature entre le gouvernement espagnol et les partis catalans pourrait conduire à une redéfinition juridique et politique de l’autonomie de la Catalogne.

Frederic Lepine CIFE Catalogne Espagne Federalisme

N°158

Le défi du vieillissement démographique, Jean-Claude Vérez

Résumé :

Le monde va connaître une (r)évolution démographique d’ici 2100 et, à l’opposé de l’analyse malthusienne, le défi ne sera pas de faire face à la croissance démographique mais au vieillissement démographique. C’est déjà le cas dans de grands pays et il convient de voir ce en quoi cette évolution va bouleverser quelques équilibres macroéconomiques mais aussi microéconomiques.

Jean Claude Verez Mediterranee Arras Economie Demographie CIFE EU

N°157

The EU AI Act: State of Play and the Potential for Regulatory Globalisation, Aysenur Alma

Résumé :

In her Policy Paper, Aysenur Alma gives an overview of the state of play of the upcoming EU AI Act within the legislative process. Since the Commission's proposal in April 2021, the proposal has undergone the ordinary legislative procedure. Last month, a provisional agreement was achieved in the trilogue negoations of the Parliament and the Council. Moreover, the final text has been sent to the member states. Thus, a final adoption is soon to be accomplished. The regulation is not only awaited within Europe but is also expected to have extra-territorial reach.

Aysenur Alma CIFE AI Act EU CIFE Alumna

N°156

The EU Electricity Market Reform and the Protection of Consumers: A Move Towards a More Ambitious Approach?, Rachel Guyet

Résumé :

The energy price crisis in the winter 2022-2023 acted as a wake-up call for the European institutions to reform the electricity market in order to stabilise the prices and shield consumers from price volatility. The provisional reform agreement concluded by the Council and the Parliament in December 2023 improves the protection of final consumers, including the vulnerable consumers and households exposed to energy poverty. This is a step in the right direction but more needs to be done to address inequalities in the access to affordable energy services for all.

Rachel Guyet Energy Poverty Trilemma CIFE

 

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