Issue No. 180 | 5 September 2025 | Rachel Guyet
Social justice should not be an afterthought in the transition, it must be the foundation that makes it socially and politically acceptable. The paper makes the hypothesis that a successful, just transition requires moving from a vision where security, competitiveness and social justice are opposed. Alternative models to the dominant energy system exist to stimulate the participation of the people in the energy transition. Four of them are deleved into in this paper.
Issue No. 179 | 17 July 2025 | Susann Heinecke-Kuhn
In recent years, Belarus has mainly attracted attention as Russia's military accomplice in the Ukraine war and as a provocateur of European asylum and migration policy. Added to this is the disastrous human rights situation in the country, ruled with an iron fist by long-term president Alexander Lukashenko. However, the release of a significant number of political prisoners over the past year or so raises the question whether there is a chance for a political opening of the country towards Europe. The paper describes the how Belarus has maneuvered itself into a position of total dependence on Russia in recent years, particularly since 2020. While having to wait for better conditions for a new Belarusian-European rapprochement in the future, the EU should neither abandon the country nor hide behind a debate on values but rather keep a close eye on the situation and be available in case a window of opportunity opens.
Issue No. 178 | 16 June 2025 | Tamar Gamkrelidze
Sixteen years after its launch, the Eastern Partnership (EaP) is experiencing growing fragmentation, as member countries follow increasingly divergent domestic/foreign policy paths. This divergence raises questions about the EaP’s continued relevance, particularly in its current format, as it approaches the expiration date in 2027. To remain effective, the EU must reimagine the EaP by strengthening its focus on enlargement, security, and strategic presence. This includes deeper support for candidate countries, enhanced regional resilience against hybrid and military threats for long-term regional stability, and sustained engagement in less open states through dialogue and cooperation. A renewed EaP must reflect political realities and offer credible conditionality to ensure alignment with EU objectives.
Issue No. 177 | 29 April 2025 | Emre Gür
This policy paper discusses the challenges facing multilateralism and its effects on civil society, particularly in the context of foreign aid. It argues that the shift towards inward-looking policies, exemplified by the Trump administration decisions, has significant implications for the foreign sector. The paper further explores how this changing landscape affects civil society organisations, using Türkiye as a case study, and emphasises the need for diversifying funding sources and adapting to the evolving global order.
Issue No. 176 | 24 April 2025 | Megghi Pengili
The EU White Paper calls for Member States to enhance strategic readiness through collective defence and public-private partnerships (PPPs), which improve the defence ecosystem and foster organisational learning. Reports by Niinistö and Draghi (2024) highlight the need for further understanding of PPPs’ impact on defence preparedness.This analysis explores the rise of PPPs as a knowledge hub in the EU defence context and their role in driving transformation towards enhanced readiness.
Issue No. 175 | 15 April 2025 | Matthias Waechter
Donald Trump's presidency bears many risks for the European Union, but also offers opportunities. Now is the chance for the EU to finally make decisive progress towards creating a European identity. European security and defence can be the levers to create a real “we-feeling” among EU citizens.
Issue No. 174 | 4 April 2025 | Florent Marciacq
Once regarded as a key foreign policy instrument of the European Union (EU), the enlargement process is increasingly hampered by geopolitical tensions, internal divisions and longstanding malfunctions. The new impetus that followed the invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation in 2022 has eroded. Gradual integration is now being presented as a pragmatic solution to maintain the momentum of enlargement, yet it risks weakening the European project by prioritising open-end economic logics over democratic aspirations, political unification and progressive alliances. Confronted with challenges posed by regional autocrats, as well as Russia, China, and even the Trump administration, the Union must clarify its ambitions and assert a coherent political vision if it wishes to remain a credible and influential actor.
Issue No. 173 | 14 February 2025 | Jean Buffiere
Is Europe's hydrogen strategy facing a pivotal moment? Despite ambitious policies, rising costs and regulatory hurdles have stalled industrial deployment. This policy paper examines whether 2025 will bring a strategic reset - or a recalibration of Europe’s green hydrogen ambitions.
Issue No. 172 | 14 January 2025 | Christian Manahl
Last September, UN member states adopted a Pact which acknowledges our responsibility for the present and future as the world faces existential threats. Controversies during the process of adoption reflect a fractured international system and foreshadow a difficult implementation. This is compounded by populist trends on both sides of the North Atlantic. However, a cynical surrender to narrow-minded power politics will not resolve the tremendous socio-economic, environmental and security challenges ahead of us, but will only serve to exacerbate them. Future generations will judge today’s political leaders – and today’s electorate in the big democracies – by the choices they make and by their resolve to implement the Pact that they have signed up to.
Issue No. 171 | 9 December 2024 | Laurent Baechler
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism currently being tested by the EU is the first climate policy instrument of its kind in operation anywhere in the world. Its implementation will be a litmus test for the international community's ability to overcome the economic, legal and political obstacles to more effective climate cooperation.
Issue No. 170 | 28 November 2024 | Johanna Koch
Since the post-Maastricht era, the European Union has experienced a consistent rise in Euroscepticism within the European Parliament. The 2024 European Parliament elections marked another peak in the number of Eurosceptic parties, whose campaigns were fueled by anti-EU disinformation narratives. This highlights the EU's ongoing challenges in effectively countering Eurosceptic disinformation. Therefore, this paper evaluates the EU's measures against disinformation, examines their limitations, and proposes seven key recommendations to address not only the gaps in the EU's current strategy against disinformation but also the growing rise of Euroscepticism within the Union, considering both phenomena as interconnected issues.
Issue No. 169 | 12 November 2024 | Ryszard Piasecki
Poland's political landscape has undergone significant change since the 2023 election, with the ousting of the populist PiS government and the rise of a pro-European coalition led by Donald Tusk. Despite this victory, Poland's democracy remains under threat due to obstacles created by the outgoing PiS government, including a politicised judiciary and obstructive presidential vetoes. While the new government has made strides to restore the rule of law, challenges persist, particularly from the Catholic Church and conservative factions. The EU has unblocked recovery funds, but full democratic restoration in Poland will depend on future elections and institutional reforms. This situation serves as a cautionary tale for the EU regarding the risks posed by populism in member states.
Issue No. 168 | 15 October 2024 | Daan van Pinxteren
The EU Artificial Intelligence (AI) Act, effective from August 2024, is the world’s first comprehensive AI regulation, significantly impacting AI used in the public sector. It introduces a risk-based framework, categorising AI systems from minimal to high risk, with stringent compliance requirements for the latter. Public authorities face challenges in balancing the benefits of AI with the expected costs of compliance, particularly with regards to harnessing the risk framework and exceptions to the rules, fostering trustworthy AI and citizen trust and navigating expected enforcement. This in turn may ultimately require a reinvention of public AI strategies to strike an optimal balance between benefits and costs.
Issue No. 167 | 24 September 2024 | Kyriakos Revelas
The end of the post-cold war European security architecture following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, coupled with doubts about the US commitment to NATO obligations, made territorial defence again a central preoccupation. This prompts the question of the EU security and defence policy shifting from crisis management to deterrence and defence. This paper examines whether such change is institutionally possible and explores the political conditions for common defence and the defence industry role.
Issue No. 166 | 17 September 2024 | Rachel Guyet
Energy poverty is a widespread phenomenon in Europe. If the EU and the member states have been strongly involved to mitigate the social consequences of the energy price crisis in the winter 2022-2023, local authorities are an essential resource for households exposed to energy poverty. However they are facing obstacles to making their action more effective. Despite the difficulties (some of them are examined in this paper), they are able to mobilise formal and informal networks to develop experimentations.
Issue No. 165 | 10 September 2024 | Joren Schepers
In 2023, the Social Climate Fund (SCF) was approved alongside the expansion of the Emission Trading System to the building and transport sector. The fund redistributes a part of the revenue made by this expansion with the aim of preventing the most vulnerable people from being exposed to transport and energy poverty as a result of the pricing policy. The SCF regulation sets out ambitious objectives, allocating a total budget of €86.7 billion from 2026 to 2032. By analysing France's existing policy on energy poverty and the alignment with the targets of the SCF, this research gives an insight into the fund's capacity and whether it can live up to the expectations.
Issue No. 164 | 3 September 2024 | Michel-Henry Bouchet and Alexandre Landi
Although the concept of good governance has become the obligatory reference in academic round tables and meetings of international bodies or rating agencies, there is no consensus on its definition, content or measurement. Everyone defines governance according to their needs. Overall, country risk analysts, policymakers and field practitioners have no shortage of governance indicators, sometimes with a great deal of opacity and where digital sophistication gives the illusion of scientific content. We define governance as the robustness of institutions which help transforms economic growth into sustained and inclusive development. Clearly, fighting corruption is a crucial ingredient of governance, together with accountability, transparency and regulatory quality. To measure the level of governance in one hundred developing countries, a new composite indicator has been built, based on specific sub-indices of institutional quality, government efficiency and corruption. Its added value stems from an “expert assessment” that is based on seasoned country risk analysts, including professors and trained alumni from CIFE’s and Luiss’s Joint Master in Global Economic Governance and Policy Affairs. We hope this new “country governance gamut” will help draw the attention of policymakers and risk analysts to the quality of socio-economic management in too many rich countries with poor people.
Issue No. 163 | 2 July 2024 | Christian Manahl
For the first time since the end of Apartheid, the African National Congress has lost the parliamentary majority and the country is entering a new era of coalition politics. Socio-economic constraints and the need to balance diverging interests between coalition partners will give the new executive limited leeway. In addition, it will have to juggle competing priorities of economic reform and fiscal consolidation on the one hand, and tackling unemployment and deep social inequalities on the other. The challenges are daunting, but South Africa’s fundamentals are solid, it is the continent’s biggest economy and it has strong democratic institutions. As long as the new coalition sticks together and focuses on the interests of the country, it requires and deserves the support of international partners for its efforts to lead South Africa onto a more promising socio-economic trajectory.
Issue No. 162 | 21 May 2024 | Arnisa Tepelija
This paper explores the resurgence of the European Union enlargement policy amidst the geopolitical imperatives posed by Russia’s war on Ukraine through the lens of the rule of law. Central to the enlargement policy is the implementation of the rule of law, a core EU principle enshrined in its constitutional framework. Drawing from lessons learnt from previous enlargements, such as underscoring the necessity of robust rule of law criteria and the consistent use of pre-accession conditionality, this paper makes some future projections on what the immediate imperative is for the EU in the promotion of the rule of law and its implementation in candidate countries.
Issue No. 161 | 22 April 2024 | Ana Catarina Simões
The journey towards recognising the pivotal role of nuclear energy in the global energy landscape has been marked by several key milestones since 2022. Notably, nuclear energy was included in both the RepowerEU plan and the COP 28 agreement. Subsequently, an inaugural Nuclear Energy Summit was convened. These developments underscore a collective shift in perspective, acknowledging nuclear power as an indispensable component of the energy transition. The Nuclear Energy Summit, a first-of-its-kind event held on 21 March 2024, further solidified this stance, bringing together governments, institutions, and stakeholders to deliberate on nuclear energy's potential.